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Q3 Growth Solid But May Be Slowing

INDONESIA

In September Bank Indonesia (BI) said that “economic growth in Indonesia remains solid, supported by domestic demand”. While consumer confidence and the S&P Global manufacturing PMI both eased in September they continue to point to “solid” growth but possibly slower. BI’s own measure of business activity has been trending higher over the year and is almost 2 points higher than Q3 last year. Domestic demand is unlikely to be as strong as it was in Q2 as the large rise in public spending is probably won’t be repeated, but private sector activity is still looking robust. However, annual real export growth fell in Q2 and is also looking weak in Q3. BI meet again on Thursday (see MNI BI Preview here).

Indonesia private consumption vs consumer confidence

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

Indonesia GDP growth vs BI business activity index

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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