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Rand Tops EMEA Pile as USDZAR Pierces 50-Day EMA

ZAR

USDZAR has pierced both the 50-day EMA at 18.9332 and trendline support drawn at 18.8777, with the pair last dealing in the 18.88 region and down 0.70% on the day. The local currency is by far the strongest performer in EMEA so far today, following on from yesterday’s strong performance, as risk currencies continue to be supported by the rollover of UST yields from this morning’s highs.

  • SARB Governor Kganyago said earlier today “The job on the inflation front is not yet done,” adding “We remain vigilant and we stand ready to deploy our tools as necessary.” The comments follow the recent pullback in 6x9 South African FRAs from the Oct 03 high – which was the highest level since July – adding to the ongoing debate on the SARB rate outlook with further tightening only partially priced.
  • Additionally, a stronger commodity backdrop is providing a tailwind to the rand – the Bloomberg commodity index is up 0.2% while gold price action continues to undermine the recent bearish theme.

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