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RBA Dated OIS Steady Ahead Of RBA Decision

STIR

Ahead of the RBA decision (0530 BST) RBA-dated OIS pricing is little changed across meetings with an 81% chance of a pause priced for today.

  • Although the likelihood of an April hike is not high, the cumulative tightening over April and May meetings is at 10-11bp, the highest level since 13 March.
  • The market still has 22bp of easing by year-end priced off the expected May meeting terminal rate of 3.67%.

Figure 1: RBA Dated OIS: Today Vs. Yesterday

Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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