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RBNZ Dated OIS Continue To Pare Friday’s Firming After Infl. Expectations Data

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The RBNZ’s measures of business inflation expectations eased in Q1. The 2-year ahead is now at the mid-point of the target band at 2.5% down from 2.8% in Q4 and the 1-year ahead close to the top of the band at 3.2% down from 3.6%, but both are above the RBNZ’s CPI forecasts.

  • The RBNZ also monitors household inflation expectations which are released on February 22. The RBNZ Policy Decision is on 28 February.
  • RBNZ dated OIS is 1-3bps softer across meetings today.
  • A cumulative easing of 50bps is priced for year-end from a peak of 5.66% . This compares to 100bps of easing off 5.53% at the end of January.

Figure 1: RBNZ Dated OIS Pricing (%)



Source: MNI – Market News / Bloomberg

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