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Recent Cheapening As US Desks Come In Ahead Of Powell et al

US TSYS
  • Some recent cheapening pressure as the US comes in sees Cash Tsys back almost unchanged on the day with only the 2Y more modestly outperforming. More broadly, Treasuries heavily outperform core EU FI. Today’s is headlined by three important Fed speakers, even more so considering the dearth of any other releases, with any r* discussions closely watched for at the Laubach Research Conference.
  • 2YY -0.9bp at 4.242%, 5YY +0.0bp at 3.685%, 10YY -0.2bp at 3.644%, 30YY +0.2bp at 3.906%.
  • TYM3 trades just 1 tick higher at 113-30+, keeping to a relatively narrow range off a low of 113-28+. Cumulative volumes are higher than recent averages at 280k. It came close to initial resistance at yesterday’s low of 113-27+, in turn closely followed by 113-26 (May 22 low) and 113-23 (50% retracement of Mar 2-24 rally).
  • Fedspeak: NY Fed’s Williams (0845ET, text + Q&A), Gov. Bowman (0900ET, text + Q&A), Chair Powell (1100ET, panel/Q&A)

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