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Remain Firmer But Off Intraday Highs As Flash PMIs Come Across Stagflationary

EGBS

Core/semi-core EGBs have moved off intraday highs as the details of the January flash PMIs implied less of a dovish conclusion than the headline figures initially suggested.

  • While the services PMIs were lower-than-expected in both France and Germany, both reports noted evidence of continued wage pressures amongst service sector firms. The Eurozone-wide release also noted the stagflationary impact of Red Sea disruptions on manufacturers.
  • The stronger-than-expected UK flash PMI also weighed on the space.
  • Bunds are +15 ticks at 134.08, after printing a post-data high of 134.42, though today's price action remains contained within yesterday's range.
  • Pre-data support in wider core FI came from the PBoC's RRR cut announcement, detailed elsewhere.
  • German and French yields are 2-3bps lower today, while periphery spreads to Bunds are tighter. Buoyant European equities alongside inferences that Spain/Italy will have supported the Eurozone-wide flash PMI print have enabled today's compression, with the 10-year BTP/Bund spread 2.6bps narrower at 154bps at typing.
  • The remainder of today's regional docket is light, while the BoC decision at 1445GMT may garner some cross-border interest.

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