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Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: ECB Expected To Cut Rates Later
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: A$ & Local Yields Surge Following Jobs Data
REPEAT: MNI DATA ANALYSIS: US 4Q GDP Revised Down To +2.5%>
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 13:30 GMT Feb 28/08:30 EST Feb 28
--Downward Adjustment To Inventories Key Factor
--Core PCE Price Index Unrevised At +1.9%; Y/Y Still +1.5%
By Kevin Kastner, Sara Haire and Holly Stokes
WASHINGTON (MNI) - Fourth quarter GDP growth was revised down
slightly to a 2.5% annual rate from the 2.6% pace in the advance
estimate, as expected, data released Wednesday by the Bureau of Economic
Analysis showed.
A downward revision to inventory growth was the key factor,
supplemented by slower nonresidential fixed investment and government
spending growth. Residential fixed investment growth was stronger, while
the net export gap was modestly narrower. PCE growth was unrevised.
--PICTURE REMAINS THE SAME
Overall, the data suggest little change in the overall
growth picture, with the mix resulting a slight upward adjustment to
final sales. Likewise, the price picture was virtually untouched from
the advance estimate.
Inventory investment was revised down to an $8.0 gain for the
quarter from $9.2 billion in the advance estimate. The net export gap
now stands at $652.2 billion, only modestly than $652.6 billion gap in
the advance estimate.
Within consumption, which is still reported up 3.8% for the
quarter, there was a downward revisions to goods PCE, offset by an
upward adjustment services PCE.
The personal savings rate was revised up modestly to 2.7% from 2.6%
in the advance estimate, but was still down sharply from 3.4% in 3Q.
Nonresidential fixed investment was revised slightly lower to a
6.6% pace from the 6.8% gain in the advance estimate, with a downward
adjustment to intellectual property more than offsetting upward
revisions to structures and equipment.
Residential fixed investment was revised up to 13.0% rate of gain
from the 11.6% gain in the advance estimate.
Government spending was revised down slightly to a 2.9% gain,
compared with a 3.0% rise in the advance estimate.
As a result of the mix of revisions, real final sales of domestic
product were revised up to a 3.3% gain from the 3.2% increase in the
advance estimate. Real final sales to domestic purchasers was unrevised
at a 4.3% pace.
--PRICE MEASURES ROUGHLY UNREVISED
The key price measures were generally unrevised in the second
estimate for the quarter. The chain price index was revised down
slightly to a 2.3% gain from the previously reported 2.4% rise, still up
from the 2.1% gain in the second quarter.
The closely watched core PCE price index was unrevised at a 1.9%
gain, keeping the year/year rate for the measure at 1.5%, still slightly
ahead of the 1.4% rise in the third quarter.
** MNI Washington Bureau: Tel. (202)371-2121 **
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.