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Free AccessREPEAT: MNI POLICY: BOJ Keeps Target; Rates To Remain Very Low
TOKYO (MNI) - The Bank of Japan board, as widely expected, decided
Wednesday in a 7-to-2 vote to maintain its current monetary easing stance under
the yield curve control framework it adopted in September 2016, vowing to keep
very low interest rates "for an extended period."
Under the framework, the BOJ has been trying to stabilize the 10-year
government bond yield, the benchmark for long-term borrowing costs, at around
zero percent and keep the overnight interest rate at -0.1%.
At its last meeting on July 30-31, the BOJ board decided in a 7-to-2 vote
to make its long-term interest rate target and asset purchases more "flexible,"
allowing the nearly flat Japanese government bond yield to steepen slightly in
line with firmer growth and inflation.
The bank "strengthened" the framework, allowing a wider trading range of
+0.2% to -0.2% for the 10-year Japanese government bond yield, double the
previous, unofficial range of +0.1% to -0.1%.
--KATAOKA, HARADA DISSENT
Reflationist board members Yutaka Harada, a former government economist,
and Goushi Kataoka, a former private-sector economist, dissented again,
following their objection to the July decision.
Harada called the guideline for market operations "too ambiguous" while
Kataoka continued to call for additional easing in the face of slow price gains
and downside risks ahead.
On forward guidance, Harada also dissented, arguing that it would be better
to adopt one that would "further clarify its relationship" with the inflation
target. Kataoka was also opposed. He repeated that it would be better to promise
additional easing in the event of a downward revision to the board's longer-term
inflation outlook.
--FOR EXTENDED PERIOD
On the conduct of monetary policy, the BOJ "intends to maintain the current
extremely low levels of short- and long-term interest rates for an extended
period of time, taking into account uncertainties regarding economic activity
and prices including the effects of the consumption tax hike scheduled to take
place in October 2019."
Officially, the BOJ will maintain the annual pace of its JGB purchases at
around Y80 trillion, although the pace has declined sharply as the accumulated
effects of keeping rates down with asset purchases have intensified. The bank
noted it will conduct the purchases "in a flexible manner."
The scale of asset purchases, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Japan
real estate investment trusts (J-REIT), commercial paper and corporate bonds was
unchanged at Y6 trillion, Y90 billion, Y2.2 trillion and Y3.2 trillion,
respectively.
--ECON ASSESSMENT UNCHANGED
The board maintained its economic assessment amid growing uncertainties
over global demand caused by the U.S.-China trade dispute.
"Japan's economy is expanding moderately, with a virtuous cycle from income
to spending operating, it said, adding that the economy "is likely to continue
to be a moderate expansion."
"Overseas economies have continued to grow firmly on the whole," the BOJ
said.
The bank repeated that exports, industrial production and business
investment are on an uptrend while private consumption has been increasing
moderately, albeit with fluctuations.
The BOJ continues to see risks to the outlook in the U.S. economic
policies' impact on global financial markets, the consequences of protectionist
moves, developments in emerging and commodity-exporting economies, negotiations
on Britain's exit from the European Union and geopolitical risks.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-4670-5309; email: max.sato@marketnews.com
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.