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Retail Sales Miss Adds Downside Risk To PCE Next Week

US DATA
  • Retail sales modestly weaker than expected in November, falling -0.6% M/M (cons -0.2) and the control group -0.2% M/M (cons +0.1%) after a downward revised +0.5% in Oct (initial +0.7%).
  • The result is a 3-month trend rate for the control group slowed from 6% to 3.6% annualized, in nominal terms, the softest since Dec’21.
  • It adds downside risk to next week’s consumer spending (Dec 23), consensus for which is already seen slowing from 0.8% to 0.2% M/M, and with particular focus on what happened in real terms.

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