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Retail Spending Appears To Have Troughed

NEW ZEALAND

NZ card transactions continued to recover in January with the total rising 2% m/m to be up 3.2% y/y but the retail component softer up 1.7% m/m to be only +0.9% y/y. January unwound the December drop in retail sales though and 3-month momentum turned positive but the level is less than a percent higher than the H2 2023 average. Card spending is soft but looks to have troughed and may be tentatively recovering after a period of unchanged rates in line with improving consumer confidence.

  • Core retail sales were stronger rising 1.9% m/m with durables up 1.8% and apparel +3.1%.
  • Non-retail card transactions ex services rose 2.7% m/m but services fell 0.4%. Hospitality spending rose 1.9% y/y.
NZ card transactions y/y%

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