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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
SWEDEN
Latest opinion polling ahead of the 11 September general election shows the right-wing populist Sweden Democrats continuing to gain support, with pollsters now consistently putting Jimmie Akesson's party in second place nationally, ahead of the centre-right Moderates, the current main opposition.
- Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson's centre-left Social Democrats remain the most popular party by some distance, but the balance of power post-election is likely to rely on the seat totals of smaller parties from the left, centre, and right of the Swedish political landscape.
- Sifo poll: Social Democrats (S): 30% (-1), Sweden Democrats (SD): 19% (+1), Moderates (M): 17% (-1), Left Party (V): 7% (-1), Christian Democrats (KD): 7% (+1), Centre Party (C): 6%, Green Party (MP): 6% (+1), Liberals (L): 5% (-1). +/- vs. 19-21 August 2022. Fieldwork: 20-22 August 2022. Sample size: 2,194
- SKOP poll: S: 28% (-4), SD: 19% (+2), M: 18% (-1), C: 9% (+3), V: 9, L: 6%, MP: 6% (+2), KD: 5% (-1). +/- vs. 8 - 11 July 2022. Fieldwork: 18 - 22 August 2022. Sample size: 1,106
- Polling indicates the parties likely to support Andersson's gov't and those in opposition running collectively neck-and-neck.
- In the event the centre-right/right bloc of parties (Sweden Democrats, Moderates, libertarian Liberals, conservative Christian Democrats) emerge from the election with a majority of seats and the SD as the largest party in that bloc it is unclear whether Akesson would demand the PM's office or another senior gov't posting.
- Previously, Moderate leader Ulf Kristersson ruled out working with SD in gov't, but did not deny the prospect of a confidence-and-supply agreement with the right-wingers.
Chart 1. Sweden General Election Opinion Polling by Bloc, % and 6-Poll Moving Average
Source: Sifo, SKOP, Novus, Demoskop, Sentio, Ipsos, Infostat, MNI. Andersson Gov't and Supporters: S, V, MP, C. Opposition: SD, M, KD, L.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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