Free Trial

Risk-Off Gains Momentum

US TSYS SUMMARY

Generally a nascent risk-off tone to midweek session: stocks pared gains/traded weaker while Tsys trade strong after the closing bell, just off late session highs (but off early overnight levels) yield curves mildly flatter, decent over all volumes (TYM >1.5M).

Indifferent data react, Tsy futures pared overnight gains, 2s-30s held just above steady on two-way flow post-data: Durables new orders -1.1%/ex-trans -0.9%. Two-way flow with slightly better buying in 10s-30s.
  • Small auction tail: Tsys slipped briefly after US Tsy $61B 5Y Note auction (91282CBT7) drew high yld of 0.850% (0.621% last month) vs. 0.847% WI; 2.36 bid/cover vs. 2.24 prior. Indirects drew 58.08% vs. 57.05% prior, directs 16.62% vs. 14.38% prior, dealers 25.31% vs. 28.57% prior.
  • Rates gradually rebounded, inched higher in latter/second half of session as equities traded back to early overnight lows. Focus on Thursday's weekly claims and flurry of more Fed speakers.
  • The 2-Yr yield is down 0.1bps at 0.1446%, 5-Yr is down 0.8bps at 0.8076%, 10-Yr is down 1.4bps at 1.6067%, and 30-Yr is down 1.9bps at 2.3079%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.