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Risk-off tone tied to US/China trade...>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Risk-off tone tied to US/China trade angst underpinned rates
through the NY session, yld curves flatter w/short end underperforming. Brief
risk-off unwind/knee-jerk reaction to late morning US/China trade/tariff relief
headline. Fast retrace: Tsys bouncing while equities are pared back gap move,
S&Ps near steady in late trade. Bbg posited US/China tying tariff relief to the
failed deal from May -- being used as a benchmark to decide how much tariffs
"should be rolled back in the initial phase". Risk-off resumed as US Pres Trump
said US would just raise tariffs "even higher" if China "doesn't make a deal".
- Reality check: despite the underlying risk, session was rather subdued
w/overall volumes inflated due to spike in Dec/Mar Tsy futures rolling ahead
next wks first notice on Fri's shortened post holiday session.
- Session flow included two-way swap flow in 2s-10s that tended toward better
receiving, sporadic payers faded move as 2Y spd re-inverted, large 2s10s
flattener Block, light deal-tied hedging.
- The 2-Yr yield is down 0.2bps at 1.5961%, 5-Yr is down 1.5bps at 1.6204%,
10-Yr is down 3.1bps at 1.7843%, and 30-Yr is down 4.5bps at 2.2541%.

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