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Risk on and HUF strength levitate equities to record highs

HUNGARY
  • Global liquidity and recent HUF strength pushed Hungary equities to a new record high, with BUX Index breaking above its 46,476 resistance this week and is gradually approaching the 48,000 resistance.
  • As for Poland, we saw that the rise in inflationary pressures in the CEE region in the past two months has led to an increase in disagreements between NBH policymakers over the trajectory of rates in the coming months; the hawkish comment from deputy governor Virag led to a strong momentum on HUF in May, with the currency appreciating by 5.5% against the US Dollar (ZAR and HUF were the best performers in the CEEMEA FX market in May).
  • USDHUF has been retracing higher in the past few days after finding a local low at 282.80 on Tuesday; resistances to watch on the topside stand at 290 and 296 (50D SMA). On the downside, first support to watch stands at 280.
  • The 10Y yield has been retracing lower in the past two days after rejecting its 3% resistance on Wednesday; support to watch on the downside stands at 2.80% (50D SMA).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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