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Risk-On Dominates But Only Partial Retracement Of The Week's Theme

COMMODITIES
  • Crude oil has jumped 4% today, gaining through all three regional trading sessions including a push higher with payrolls coming in stronger than expected in April despite more than offsetting downward revisions to Feb/Mar.
  • Nevertheless, WTI is still down 7% on the week as the market assess economic driven demand concerns against the potential for tighter supplies with the start of OPEC cuts this month and potential higher demand from China.
  • WTI is +4.1% at $71.39, eyeing resistance at $71.9 (May 3 high).
  • Brent is +3.9% at $75.30, nudging resistance at $75.58 (May 3 high) after which lies $77.36 (Apr 27 low and recent breakout level).
  • Gold is -1.7% at $2016.54, sliding in the risk-on environment with higher Treasury yields and equities as bank stocks bounce. It fleetingly dipped below support at $2000.4 (20-day EMA) before bouncing.
  • Weekly moves: WTI -7.1%, Brent -5.3%, Gold +1.3%, US nat gas -11.9%, EU TTF nat gas -5.1%


1st WTI (white) and spot gold (yellow)Source: Bloomberg

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