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Russia-Ukraine Tensions in Focus as Zelensky Attends Key Meetings

RUSSIA
  • This week: Merkel visits Zelensky in Ukraine, Ukraine celebrates 30 years of independence and Zelensky meets Biden in Washington. Moreover, next month we also have Zapad21 military exercises with Belarus which have also been a source of tension in the past.
  • In meetings with NATO leaders, Zelensky will undoubtedly push for progress on NATO accession and possible arms deals for US missile systems and aircraft to held defend the Crimean Peninsula from Russian aggression.
  • Russia has been clear that adding Ukraine to NATO is among its red lines, and so far, NATO has rebuffed Ukraine's attempts to join the bloc.
  • By NATO's standards it cannot admit any country that has either ongoing internal or external conflicts, but Ukraine continues to press the urgency of the matter to the West.
  • Putin's recent meetings with Merkel reinforced Russia's commitment to the Minsk accords in terms of finding resolution in Crimea, but remains critical of Ukraine's continued aggression and ambitious to retake Crimea – as have been reiterated on numerous occasions in recent weeks.
  • Nevertheless, the number of key events provides scope for more frictions at a time when the West is cracking down on Russia following last Friday's (mostly ineffectual) sanctions on intelligence officials.
  • Correspondence from the Kremlin will be interesting to gauge to see how vocal Russia is on the issue and whether the US or NATO cross any of Russia's red lines.
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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