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SAGBs Retain Bullish Momentum as UST Yields Decline on Central Bank Uncertainty

SOUTH AFRICA
  • SAGBs are trading firmly for a second straight session this week as uncertainty over the Omicron variant drives extensive policy uncertainty across global markets with traders pushing back on rate hike expectations across the board
  • SAGBs stand -8.2-9.7bp lower across the curve with outperformance centred in 2 & 30Y yields. SAGBs benefit from this environment given real yields are currently the widest in the EM space - also bolsering ZAR in a weak USD environment.
  • 2Y yields have fallen -51.8bp since the start of November, despite the SARB delivering its first +25bp rate hike, with the decision roughly 60% priced in.
  • Key support is defined in the 5.00-5.034 zone, followed by 4.93 & 4.87 below.

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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