Free Trial

Sectoral Factor Model Inflation Hits Record, Prior Readings Revised Higher

RBNZ

The RBNZ's preferred gauge of core inflation (sectoral factor model) accelerated to +4.8% Y/Y in the second quarter, rising further above the upper end of the +2.0%-4.0% Y/Y target range and hitting a new all-time high in data series going back to 1993.

  • The entries for the three preceding quarters have been revised higher and now indicate that the gauge has been in breach of the RBNZ's tolerance band since 4Q2021.
    • 3Q2021 reading revised to +4.6% Y/Y from +4.2%
    • 4Q2021 reading revised to +4.2% Y/Y from +3.8%
    • 1Q2022 reading revised to +3.7% Y/Y from +3.5%
  • The Reserve Bank's assessment from last week's monetary policy review that its "core inflation measures are around 4 percent" now sounds somewhat outdated.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.