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Seeking Direction In Asia; Biden Visits Saudi Arabia

OIL

WTI is ~+$0.50 and Brent is ~+$0.90, with both keeping within relatively tight ~$1.40 channels across Asia-Pac dealing. Brent has struggled to make meaningful headway above $100 and remains vulnerable to record a weekly close below $100 for the first time since end-Feb, with crude continuing to show weakness in recent sessions on rising recession worry and a strengthening USD.

  • Both benchmarks initially edged a little lower on worry re: reduced Chinese energy demand, with news of Shanghai listing 30 “areas” (single housing compounds or clusters of apartment blocks) within the city to be subject to lockdowns (although lockdowns on 60 areas within the city were lifted on Friday), adding to surge in fresh daily COVID cases countrywide (432 for Thu vs 292 Wed).
  • Keeping within the region, a BBG report has highlighted that crude refining margins across Asia are continuing to pull lower, pointing to falling demand for oil products across the region amidst higher energy prices.
  • Elsewhere, U.S. President Biden is due to speak with Saudi Prince MBS at approx. 1845 IDT (1645 BST) later on Friday. Expectations for the meeting to see increased Saudi crude production remain low, with analysts having long pointed to limited spare capacity in the Gulf states.
  • Separately, progress towards potential caps on the price of Russian oil remains scant (with major importer China remaining on the sidelines), with U.S. Tsy Sec. Yellen proposing on Thursday that the U.S. and the EU could waive bans on shipping insurance and financial services for Russia should the measure be adopted.

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