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Sitting Cheaper, Trade Data Fails To Move Market

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs are sitting cheaper on the day (YM -16.0 & XM -15.5) after April trade data prints a smaller than expected surplus, A$11.16bn versus A$13.65bn est. Exports fall 5.0% m/m, while imports rise 2.0% m/m. There has been little net movement since the data release.

  • Cash ACGBs are just off session cheaps, 15-16bp weaker, with the AU-US 10-year yield differential 4bp higher at +19bp. The 3-year yield reaches 3.83%, its highest level since 2011.
  • Swap rates are 15-16bp higher on the day with EFP little changed.
  • The bills strip continues to bear steepen with pricing -2 to -19.
  • RBA dated OIS are 5-21bp firmer for meetings beyond July, with February’24 leading.
  • Bloomberg reports that Japanese investors bought the most Australian sovereign debt since 2021 in April while selling a net ¥2.01 trillion ($14.4 billion) of US sovereign bonds, according to Tsuyoshi Ueno, a senior economist at NLI Research Institute. (link)

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