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SocGen see Slowing US Oil Output Growth

OIL

US oil production in 2024 is likely to rise at less than half the rate in 2023 as the shale industry matures and most of the growth is already priced in, according to SocGen, cited by Bloomberg.

  • SocGen’s global head of commodity research Benjamin Hoff estimates that US output will increase by 0.65m-0.7m b/d in 2024, compared to 1.5m b/d in 2023.
  • This is a larger gain than forecast by the EIA, which expects production to be at flat ar 13.1m b/d in 2024, compared to the average of 12.93m b/d in 2023.
  • Shale producers are aiming for fiscal restraint and a boost shareholder profits in 2024, with consolidation becoming the key to growing market share, according to Hoff.
  • Deals in the space have been centred on developing more contiguous acreage, enabling producers to drill laterally and extract more oil cost efficiently, according to Hoff.

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