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SONIA and Euribor strips selling off this morning

STIR FUTURES
  • The Eurodollar strip been fairly steady since about 1:00GMT after big falls yesterday off Powell's comments. Around 44bp priced in for the May meeting now with around 80bp by June. For 2022 as a whole around 190bp is priced for the remaining six meetings.
  • SONIA futures moving lower in sympathy with Eurodollars with Reds down up to 12 ticks this morning. Markets now price around a 50% probability of a 50bp BOE hike in May (with 25bp fully priced) and 136bp in the six meetings to December (so the equivalent of almost 5.5 25bp hikes in 6 meetings).
  • The Euribor strip is also lower with Reds down up to 9 ticks. Markets are now fully pricing a 25bp hike by September with 43.5bp priced by year-end.

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