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Free AccessSONIA Flat To Start, Labour Market Survey Points To Slower Wage Growth And Reduced Hiring
SONIA futures are +1.5 to -0.5 through the blues, with the reds and greens incrementally higher.
- BoE-dated OIS is little changed to 1bp softer through '24 MPC meeting contracts.
- This is despite core global bond futures sitting in line to a touch below levels seen during yesterday’s SONIA future settlement window.
- The latest KPMG-REC labour market survey continued to point to moderating wage growth (3-year low registered in the relevant survey sub-metric in November) and a slowdown in hiring. This may be providing some modest support for SONIA futures/minor dovish impetus for BoE pricing early on today.
- Late Thursday saw Fitch publish a note titled “Major UK Banks Resilient to Economic Backdrop; Underpinned by Strong Buffers. A reminder that this came after RTRS sources flagged “Britain's top financial regulator has asked banks active in the so-called private credit market for details of their exposure to an area which it has identified as a top systemic danger.”
- The BoE-Ipsos inflation attitudes survey headlines today’s limited domestic docket
BoE Meeting | SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%) | Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp) |
Dec-23 | 5.208 | +2.1 |
Feb-24 | 5.215 | +2.8 |
Mar-24 | 5.151 | -3.6 |
May-24 | 5.058 | -13.0 |
Jun-24 | 4.931 | -25.6 |
Aug-24 | 4.775 | -41.3 |
Sep-24 | 4.629 | -55.8 |
Nov-24 | 4.472 | -71.5 |
Dec-24 | 4.346 | -84.1 |
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.