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S&P E-minis Sit Shy Of Next Resistance As Real Yield Decline Pauses

STOCKS
  • ESZ2 hit session highs of 3802.5 following softer than expected JOLTS openings and has held close to it ever since with real yields moving off session lows.
  • It hovers further below next resistance at the 20-day EMA of 3816.53 following an extension of the important short-term reversal after yesterday’s candle pattern was a bullish engulfing line.
  • As has been the case for some time, US real yields continue to dominate, with the 10Y real is -7bps for -30bp over two days in a sharp reversal of a similarly sized climb late last week.
  • SPX is up 2.7%, led by energy (+4.0%), financials (+3.5%) and materials (+3.5%) with consumer staples (+1.1%) and real estate (+1.4%) lagging. NASDAQ sees modest outperformance with +3.1%.


ESZ2 (white) and inverted US 10Y real yield (yellow)Source: Bloomberg

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