MNI BRIEF: Smaller Firms Split Over Wage Hikes - BOJ Report

MNI BRIEF: Majority Of Regions Cut Economic View - BOJ

MNI BRIEF: RBA To Change Policy Implementation Mechanism

CORRECTED-MNI: Changing Brazil Fiscal Target Not "Plan A"

MNI BRIEF: PBOC To Curb Any Overshooting Of The Yuan-MPC

MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, April 3

March CPI Below Consensus

MNI: SWISS MAR CPI +0% M/M, +1% Y/Y

UK Timeline of Key Events (All Times UK)

MNI BRIEF: Poilievre Calls QE 'Scam' And Would Limit BOC Remit

MNI: Growth Drag From Net Zero Carbon Goal Can Be Offset-OECD

MNI BRIEF: Lawmakers Signal Tough Hearing For BOC's Macklem

© 1982-2023 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

Split vote expected this week

BOE
  • The upcoming week will be dominated by the Bank of England MPC meeting. Our full BOE preview will be out later this week but we note that Saunders is widely expected to vote to end gilt purchases early while there are also some expectations he could be joined by another member. So the consensus view seems to be a 7-1 vote with risks of 6-2 (note that there is still a vacant seat on the MPC as Haldane has not been replaced as Chief Economist.
  • In terms of the MPR forecasts, medium-term inflation forecasts are generally expected to remain around 1.9-2.0% with only marginal changes to growth forecasts outside of the immediate-term. There are also expectations from a number of analysts that with negative rates technically a viable option from the August meeting, that the Bank will use this as an opportunity to update the market on its views on sequencing for the tightening i.e. rates or QT first and any threshold for rates to reach before QT begins. On this, consensus largely expects either a threshold of Bank Rate at 0.25-0.50% or for the Bank to be more vague and not commit to a specific threshold. The last official guidance from the Bank was for QT to not begin until Bank Rate was at 1.50% but that was before the effective lower bound was moved into negative territory and has been rendered largely irrelevant from comments from many MPC members, including Governor Bailey.
HomepageBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.