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Free AccessStalemate Persists as Russia Pressures Kyiv to Accepts Neutrality/ Territorial Terms
- USD/RUB BGN trades +5.76% higher this morning at 110.54 in illiquid trading, pulling back above the 100 handle after a few brief tries to hold below the level on Wed/Thurs.
- Russia narrowly avoided a technical default by paying its $117m Eurobond coupon, but will likely face more difficulties on upcoming coupons as foreign currency becomes increasingly difficult to attain (see list attached below).
- Over the weekend, Russia’s aerial assault of key cities continued, but continued to make little progress on Kyiv with troops going into defensive positions to shied them from Ukrainian counteroffensives.
- Russia continues to exert pressure on Kyiv to accept its neutrality/territorial terms via rocket strikes on Kyiv and sieges on cities like Mariupol.
- However, Kyiv is not willing to give an inch of territory at present, where Russia is demanding recognition of separatist republics and Crimea – which are key components to a ceasefire.
- This will be the focus of talks this week as both sides have common ground on the NATO issue already. At this point, a ceasefire may be unlikely this week unless both sides make some key compromises.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.