October 11, 2024 14:05 GMT
STIR: 35bp Of BoE Cuts Priced Through Dec, Tier 1 Data Due Next Week
STIR
BoE pricing continues to track gilts, last little changed to 2bp more hawkish on the day, showing 22bp of cuts for November, 35bp of cuts through year-end and 97bp of easing through June.
- SONIA futures +4.0 to -1.0.
- Monthly GDP and economic activity data had little lasting impact on GBP STIRs, as is usually the case.
- More consequential data is due next week, with the CPI readings (Wednesday) and labour market survey (Tuesday) both scheduled.
- We will provide greater colour on those releases in our regular Global Week Ahead publication, ahead of the full preview which will be released Monday.
- We will also hear from the dovish MPC member Dhingra (Monday).
BoE Meeting |
SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)
Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Nov-24
4.729
-22.1
Dec-24
4.602
-34.8
Feb-25
4.391
-55.9
Mar-25
4.247
-70.3
May-25
4.067
-88.3
Jun-25
3.982
-96.9
Aug-25
3.862
-108.8
Sep-25
3.816
-113.4
Nov-25
3.770
-118.1
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