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Strong CPI Report, Surprising Lack Of Market Reaction

CANADA
  • * Headline CPI was a tenth stronger than expected at 6.8% Y/Y in April but underlying details were much stronger.
  • The three main core measures all saw solid increases from further upward revisions to past months, leaving the average surging from 3.9% to 4.2% Y/Y.
  • Largest increases in both the trim and median measures but common (service heavy) also increased another 0.2pps to 3.2% Y/Y, exceeding the 3% target limit for the first time.
  • If there’s any consolation in the data if that’s a traditional measure of core CPI (ex food & energy) eased on a seasonally adjusted sequential basis from 0.72% M/M to +0.50% M/M but it still the second strongest print of the past year.
  • GoCs sell-off another 1.5bps at the front-end to belly (now +5bps on the day) but surprising complete lack of reaction in USDCAD at 1.2816.

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