February 16, 2024 07:08 GMT
Strong retail sales rebound - but little monpol impact
UK DATA
- The ONS notes that this was the largest inc-fuel monthly rise since April 2021 (returning volumes to November 2023 levels). But this also followed December 2023's record fall (which was revised down a little further to -3.3%M/M from -3.2%M/M.
- Biggest upwards contributors to the data were food stores with all subsectors except clothing increasing M/M.
- As we noted before this is probably partly an issue with the seasonal adjustment of the data in December.
- But in Y/Y terms that's only the second positive print since April 2022.- We still see no impact on monpol from this release.
- GBPUSD spiked up around 20 pips to just above its overnight high to print 1.2606 - but we have retraced around half of that move now.
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