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Surging Risk Aversion Keeps Weighing on HUF

HUNGARY
  • Renewed US Dollar strength in the past week has been weighing on CEE currencies, particularly the HUF.
  • EURHUF has been retracing sharply higher, finding resistance at the 410 level this week.
  • A break above that level would open the door for a move up to 412.40.
  • We previously argued that 410 seems to be the new threshold for NBH policymakers to start considering intervening via the 1W depo facility.
  • Hungary’s government has replied to a European Commission letter and put forth a set of measures aimed at addressing the commission’s concerns, Justice Minister Judit Varga says in a post (BBG).
  • Next economic data to watch will be Average Gross wages on August 24 and unemployment rate on August 25.

Source: Bloomberg

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