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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessT-Notes Round Trip, Cash Curve Continues To Bull Flatten
T-Notes round tripped from a session high of 110-24 as headwinds for U.S. tech shares lent support to core FI, while spillover from Australia's expectation-beating CPI data kept a lid on gains.
- NASDAQ 100 e-minis led U.S. equity-index futures lower on the back of post-market slumps in Alphabet and Microsoft. Google's parent company reported weaker-than-expected revenue, while Windows provided an underwhelming revenue forecast. Still, Asia-Pac equity benchmarks were broadly firmer, with stabilisation in Chinese indices aiding sentiment.
- The release of Australia's Q3 CPI figures reverberated across markets, sealing the case for a 25bp cash rate target next week, which is now fully priced by the swaps market.
- The market still sees the FOMC raising the fed funds rate by 75bp next month, pricing is little changed on the day.
- T-Notes last deals +0-01 at 110-19, with eurodollar future running +0.5 to -1.0 tick through the reds. Cash Tsy curve bull flattened, building on overnight impetus generated by weaker than expected U.S. house price & consumer confidence data. Yields last sit 0.6-4.0bp lower across the curve.
- U.S. 5-Year/30-Year spread returned to inversion territory, last sitting at -2.91bp; 2-Year premium over 10-Year debt has tightened at the margin.
- Local data highlights include wholesale inventories and new home sales, with 5-Year Tsy auction also coming up.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.