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TECHS: USD Reversal Signals?

FOREX

Price patterns in the USD yesterday highlight the beginning of a possible recovery in the currency near-term. The key features to note are:

  • Yesterday's EURUSD price action in candle pattern terms is a gravestone doji.
    • This is a bearish pattern that signals a possible top at 1.2080, yesterday's high.
    • The support level to watch is 1.1943, Apr 19 low where a break would strengthen a bearish case.
  • GBPUSD stalled at 1.4009 yesterday just above the top of a former bull channel base drawn off the Nov 2, 2020 low - the line intersected at 1.4006.
    • Watch support at 1.3810, Apr 19 low.
  • USDJPY has cleared some important support levels this week but a key pivot level at 107.64 remains intact, the trendline drawn off the Jan 6 low.
    • The ability to remain above this level would be USD positive.
  • Elsewhere, a shooting star candle in EURJPY yesterday also highlights a potential top in this cross. The key support zone to watch is 129.24/18, a trendline drawn off Oct 30 low and the 50-day EMA. USDCAD rallied yesterday, refocusing attention on key resistance at 1.2647, Mar 30 high and the short-term bull trigger. A shooting star candle in AUDUSD, also signals a possible top with attention on key support at 0.7635, Apr 14 low.
  • Technical price patterns provide an insight into market sentiment and yesterday's developments highlight a bullish USD theme.
    • If the USD resistance levels give way, this would strengthen a bullish case.
    • Furthermore, a risk-on market mood would also potentially reinforce the price patterns.



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