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The Italian finance...........>
ITALY AUCTION PREVIEW: The Italian finance ministry on Monday will re-open
E1.25-1.75bln of 0.00% Mar-20 CTZ, and a combined total of E0.75-1.25bln of
0.10% May-22 BTPei and 1.30% May-28 BTPei.
- BACKGROUND: The CTZ/BTPei auctions begin a week in which Italy is likely to
move close to the 50% mark of 2018 planned E240bln issuance. Recent political
uncertainty, and the fact that Mon is a US and UK holiday, could impact on
demand, with a large E18.85bln BTP redemption next week also a potential factor.
- RV: The Mar-20 CTZ was last tapped on 24 April, with E2bln sold, and cover of
1.583% with yield of -0.275%. That day marked the bottom of Italian spreads,
since which point the Mar-20 CTZ yield has risen from -0.195% to 0.271%. Though
CTZ usually trade cheap to BTPs, since last auction the spread has gone from
6.9bps inside to 2.6bps outside Mar-20 BTPs, but as of this morning back to
trading 1.3bps inside. May-28 BTPei was last sold the same day as the CTZ (cover
1.44x, real yield 0.47%), the real yield is up 90bps at 1.327%, and about 102bps
above I/L Bunds. May-22 BTPei last sold in Feb (cover 2.1x, yield -0.41%).
- RESULTS: Auction cut-off is at 1000BST, with results around 20 minutes later.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.