Free Trial

Thinking About Thinking of Tapering

US TSYS SUMMARY
An active midweek session with a lot to unpack with several Fed speakers leading up to the April FOMC minutes release, a weak 20Y auction and a meltdown in crypto-fx that weighed heavily on tech stocks in the first half. Heavy overall volumes even without the pick-up in Jun/Sep quarterly rolling, TYM1 near 1.9M after the bell.
  • No data aside from the April minutes event risk, Tsys kicked off with a risk-off tone as sharp declines in crypto currencies (various reasons, but some pointed to early headlines China expressing negative opinion on digital tokens, Bitcoin ->20% last 24 hours, Ether -42% from highs), that spilled over to tech stocks and global equities in general.
  • Upbeat Fed speakers tempered the bid in rates (BULLARD: U.S. HAS `BIG ECONOMIC BOOM GOING ON', Bbg) while a weak $27B 20Y Bond auction (2.286% high yld vs. 2.275% WI) spurred additional selling. Tsys extended sell-off after April FOMC minutes as it became apparent Fed is thinking about thinking of tapering as economic recovery continues.
  • "Some participants mentioned upside risks around the inflation outlook that could arise if temporary factors influencing inflation turned out to be more persistent than expected."
  • The 2-Yr yield is up 1bps at 0.1592%, 5-Yr is up 5bps at 0.868%, 10-Yr is up 5bps at 1.6864%, and 30-Yr is up 3.1bps at 2.3911%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.