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Trade Figures Point To On-going Growth Headwinds

SOUTH KOREA

The first 20-days trade data for February showed similar trends to recent months. Exports were only down -2.3% y/y in terms of the headline result, but average daily exports were still -14.9% y/y. Recall for the full month of January exports were -16.6% y/y.

  • In terms of the detail, chip exports were -43.9% y/y, while exports to China remained fairly soft at -22.7% y/y. This is some improvement from the trends at the end of 2022, but only modestly so far, see the chart below.
  • Imports remained firmer at +9.3% y/y, which left the trade deficit at close to -$6bn for the first 20-days of the month. At the margin this suggests some improvement on January's record wide trade deficit (-$12.69bn for the full month), albeit only at the margins at this stage.

Fig 1: South Korea Export Growth - First 20 days Total & To China

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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