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Trade Surplus Widens As Imports Weaken Sharply

INDONESIA

The April trade surplus widened more than expected to $3.94bn from $2.83bn the previous month and is elevated historically. While both exports and imports were weaker than forecast, the downturn in imports was sharper due to capital goods imports plummeting. The data is unlikely to have any implications for the May 25 meeting as the BI was expecting a solid trade position this year.

  • Imports fell 22.3% y/y down from -6.3% and exports fell 29.4% y/y down from -11.6%, driven by lower commodity prices.
  • Exports to China fell 15.9% y/y, -37.7% to Japan and -35.9% to the US. Indonesia runs a surplus with each of those economies.
  • Oil & gas exports fell 12.2% y/y driven by lower prices but gas was only down 6.2%.
Indonesia trade surplus USDmn 3mma

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv/Bloomberg

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