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Trump Leads Biden In All Seven 2024 Swing States

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According to a new survey from Bloomberg/Morning Consult, former President Donald Trump is leading President Biden in all seven swing states.

  • Bloomberg notes: "...swing-state voters’ perceptions of an improving national economy failing to translate into a significant increase in support for the incumbent."
  • Notable, the survey also finds, "Trump maintains his lead over Biden if other candidates — independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein of the Green Party and independent Cornel West — are included."
  • The polling supports betting market data which suggests Trump remains the slight favourite to win the presidency. According to electionbettingodds, an aggregator of data from betting and prediction markets, Trump is given an implied probability of 51% of winning, opposed to 32% for Biden.

Figure 1: Biden vs Trump, Swing State Polling

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According to a new survey from Bloomberg/Morning Consult, former President Donald Trump is leading President Biden in all seven swing states.

  • Bloomberg notes: "...swing-state voters’ perceptions of an improving national economy failing to translate into a significant increase in support for the incumbent."
  • Notable, the survey also finds, "Trump maintains his lead over Biden if other candidates — independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein of the Green Party and independent Cornel West — are included."
  • The polling supports betting market data which suggests Trump remains the slight favourite to win the presidency. According to electionbettingodds, an aggregator of data from betting and prediction markets, Trump is given an implied probability of 51% of winning, opposed to 32% for Biden.

Figure 1: Biden vs Trump, Swing State Polling

Keep reading...Show less