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Trump Leads Biden In New Swing State Survey

US

A new surveyfrom the Wall Street Journal has found former President Donald Trump leading President Biden in six of the seven 2024 swing states, which account for 93 out of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.

  • WSJ: “The poll of the election’s main battlegrounds shows Trump holding leads of between 2 and 8 percentage points in six states—Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina—on a test ballot that includes third-party and independent candidates. Trump holds similar leads when voters are asked to choose only between him and Biden. The one outlier is Wisconsin, where Biden leads by 3 points on the multiple-candidate ballot, and where the two candidates are tied in a head-to-head matchup.”
  • The Hill notes one quirk of the survey which may indicate that Biden has space to strengthen: "Despite siding with Trump on economic issues and showing little faith in the national economy, most respondents said their state’s economy was doing well. At least 60 percent of respondents in each swing state except Wisconsin said their state’s economy was in a good situation, while significantly fewer said the same of the national economy."

Figure 1: “If the 2024 general election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?”

Source Wall Street Journal

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