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Trump Victory Expected In South Carolina Republican Primary

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Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley has escalated attacks on former President Donald Trump ahead of the South Carolina Republican presidential primary on Saturday.

  • Haley, who has slammed Trump this week for failing to criticise Russia for the death of Alexi Navalny, said: “Trump is siding with a dictator who kills his political opponents. Trump sided with an evil man over our allies who stood with us on 9/11. Think about what that told them.”
  • On a likely 2024 matchup between Trump and President Biden, Haley said: “When you look at Donald Trump today versus Donald Trump of 2016, it’s different. And I think that we have to go and focus on what the newer generation wants, what we need to do going forward. And it’s not having two 80-year-old candidates. I think that’s a problem.”
  • Trump is expected to win the primary comfortably with much of the post-election analysis likely to focus on Haley’s vote share and the future viability of her campaign. Although Haley has pledged to, “continue until the last vote is counted,” donors may consider withdrawing from her campaign if she suffers another heavy defeat.
  • However, most observers believe that Haley is remaining in the race to capitalise on any unforeseen complications to Trump candidacy from his legal issues and to position herself for a future leadership position in the GOP in the event Trump loses the presidential election in November.

Figure 1: South Carolina Republican Primary Polling

Source: 538

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