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TTF Eases Back From Supply Driven Rally Yesterday

NATURAL GAS

Front month TTF is easing back this morning after gaining 6% yesterday on import supply concerns. US exports are currently limited by maintenance at Sabine Pass and an unplanned halt to Norway’s Hammerfest LNG are adding to outages at the import terminals of Montoir LNG and Zeebrugge LNG this week. Concern for future competition from Asia with spreads favouring Asia over Europe is balanced against healthy storage levels and low demand.

    • TTF JUL 23 down -2.4% at 25.7€/MWh
    • TTF WIN 23 up 0.9% at 41.2€/MWh
  • Total European LNG sendout has held around 390mcm/d this week after falling to around 350mcm/d over the weekend but below an average of 443mcm/d seen in May.
  • Pipeline imports from Norway are largely unchanged at 229.4mcm/d today due to the ongoing maintenance season. Outages at Norne and Oseberg were yesterday extended until 12 June and 17 June respectively.
  • European gas injections remain below normal but total storage is now up to 70.54% full on 5 June according to GIE data compared to the five year average of 53.45%.
  • The latest weather forecast shows above normal temperatures across central and NW Europe but will cool temperatures near normal in southern areas.
  • Gas transit flows through Ukraine are today at 40.8mcm/d and Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara are up slightly to 66.9mcm/d.

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