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TTF Extends Pull Back Amid Volatile Trading

NATURAL GAS

TTF extends the pull back today amid volatile trading with uncertainty over potential industrial action at Chevron's two LNG production facilities in Australia of Gorgon. The current status of talks between unions and Chevron remains unclear but strikes could begin from 7 Sep.

  • Trading in the last week since the Woodside LNG union agreement has seen front month trade between 34.2€/MWh and 41.9€/MWh.
  • Supply risks are set against high natural gas storage levels at 92.7% and low European demand. German gas consumption was last week 20.5% below the 2018-21 average.
  • TTF 30 day historic volatility has increased back to the high levels seen in early July at 145% today.
  • ICE TTF traded volumes have held around 220k contracts in the last couple of days and just below the average of 242k seen so far in August.
    • TTF OCT 23 down -9.4% at 35.67€/MWh
    • TTF WIN 23 down -5% at 48.55€/MWh
    • TTF SUM 24 down -3.2% at 51.48€/MWh


Source: Bloomberg

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