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TTF Rallies But Below JKM in Near Term

NATURAL GAS

TTF extends earlier gains on cooler temperatures in the second week of the latest GFS operational forecast and with lower prices increasing Asian LNG buying interest.

  • Competition for LNG supplies from Asia remains an upside risk for European imports. Traditional buyer of Japan and China increased imports in Jan and the more price sensitive South Asian buyers are increasingly looking to secure LNG cargoes for the coming months.
  • The JKM-TTF spread is holding in positive territory with JKM higher at the front of the curve but switches back to favour of TTF from May onwards. The US netback to Europe is slightly higher today at 13.07$/mmbtu and is 14.04$/mmbtu to Asia.
    • TTF MAR 23 up 3.3% at 53.43€/MWh
    • NBP MAR 23 up 3.3% at 133.2p/th
    • JKM Mar 23 down -0.5% at 17.9$/mmbtu
    • JKM-TTF Mar 23 down -0.7$/mmbtu at 1.09$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas MAR 23 up 5.7% at 2.54$/mmbtu


Source: Bloomberg

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