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TTF Supported by Colder Weather for December

NATURAL GAS

TTF front month holding earlier gains as colder weather is expected in NW Europe into the start of December. The cooler weather could start to increase withdrawals from storage which have held much higher than normal due to the warm start to winter.

  • The latest updated forecast shows temperatures in NW Europe falling below normal from Dec 1 onwards and likely to stay below throughout most of the two week forecast period.
  • European storage levels are still up at 93.9% full compared to the five year average of 83.5% at this time of year. Stocks in Germany are at 98.88% full (243TWh), Italy at 92.67% (179TWh), France at 98.1% (131TWh) and the Netherlands at 89.82% (125TWh).
    • TTF DEC 22 up 5.6% at 130.2€/MWh
    • TTF SUM 23 up 3.9% at 133.85€/MWh
    • TTF WIN 23 up 4.3% at 133€/MWh

Source: Bloomberg

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