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Free AccessTTF Weighs Colder Weather and Easing Supply Concern
TTF edges back up boosted by a cooler weather forecast after a decline yesterday to the lowest since early October amid easing supply concerns. Supply fears due to Middle East tensions have eased following confirmation of an Israeli/Hamas temporary ceasefire as part of a deal to free hostages. Egypt is set to resume LNG exports with the arrival of a vessel to the Idku facility.
- TTF DEC 23 up 0.1% at 44.11€/MWh
- TTF Q1 24 up 0.1% at 45.4€/MWh
- TTF SUM 24 down -0.2% at 44.5€/MWh
- Temperatures in NW and central Europe are forecast to fall below normal into the coming weekend and then expected to remain below throughout the remaining two week period.
- European LNG sendout was back up to 415mcm/d from down at around 380mcm/d in the previous couple of days but is still below flows of approximately 450mcm/d seen this time last year.
- Norwegian pipeline supply to Europe has edged higher again up to 354mcm/d today with Gassco showing no planned field or processing plant outages this week.
- European natural gas storage has edged lower after small withdrawals on the day to 98.88% full on Nov 20 according to GIE data and still well above the seasonal five year range.
- Gas transit flows through Ukraine are at 42.4mcm/d today and Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara are today at 49.7mcm/d.
- ICE TTF daily aggregate traded futures volumes were yesterday up to 288k.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.