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Ukraine Warns Of 'False Flag' To Draw Belarus Into Conflict

SECURITY

Wires reporting comments from Ukraine's SBU Security Service warning, "Russia is preparing a 'false flag' operation at Belarusian oil refinery" in order to "try to draw Belarus into war."

  • The comments follow an uptick in tension between Belarus and neighboring Poland and Lithuanian who have accused Minsk of “provocations” including breaches of airspace and a buildup of Wagner Group forces around the strategically important Suwalki Gap.
  • The Belarussian MOD said on Telegram: “The accusations of violating the border of Poland by [...] Belarusian Air Force and Air Defense Forces are far-fetched...”
  • Semafor reports that Lt. Gen. Viktor Khrenin, a close ally of Belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko, conducted a meeting with his Iranian counterpart Tehran on Monday which, "set off alarm within NATO" about growing cooperation with Iran.
  • According to Semafor, Ukrainian intelligence and the Belarusian underground, have reported evidence Minsk is "preparing to green light" a Iranian drone production facility in Belarus.
  • The specter of Minsk entering the conflict as a combatant aligned with Moscow has intensified since Lukashenko reportedthe delivery of Russian tactical nuclear weapons and negotiated a resolution to Wagner rebellion in June.

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