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Upside Surprise to March Inflation Boosted by Goods

NORWAY
MNI (London)

NORWAY MAR CPI +0.8% M/M; +6.5% Y/Y (FCST +6.1%); FEB +6.3% Y/Y

NORWAY MAR UNDERLYING CPI +0.6% M/M; +6.2% Y/Y (= FCST); FEB +5.9% Y/Y

  • Norwegian CPI surprised to the upside in the March data, accelerating by 0.2pp to +6.5% y/y against expectations of a 0.2pp slowdown.
  • Month-on-month inflationary pressures strengthened at +0.8% m/m, quickening from +0.4% m/m in February.
  • A +5.8% m/m jump in apparel helped drive consumer goods prices higher (+1.2% m/m), and service prices rose +0.5% m/m boosted by transport, restaurants and hotels.
  • Compared to March 2022, services inflation held steady at +5.3% y/y, whilst consumer goods jumped 0.5pp to +7.8% y/y.
  • Underlying (CPI-ATE) inflation remains a key concern for Norges Bank, accelerating by 0.3pp to +6.2% y/y in March, only 0.2pp below the January high.
  • At the March meet, Norges Bank signalled further tightening is likely to follow in May.

Source: Statistics Norway

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