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US 10yr yield levels

  • US Yield, medium, longer term outlook.
  • Most desk see risk tilted to the upside, but timing remains on how gradual the Fed will be, if in fact US Inflation has peaked in December.
  • US CPI release is on the 12th.
  • In terms of tech, investors will most likely look at yields, if TYH2 extend lower.
  • Next yield resistance is at 1.70%, which we tested and failed on the 13th May and 21st October.
  • Above the latter, would open to the big one at 1.7811% (retrace of the 2018/2019 fall).It tested 1.7742% high on the 30/03.
  • US yield: Looking ahead, reference TYH" 129.13, these would equate to:
  • 1.70% = 128.29
  • 1.78% = 128.08

Chart source: Bloomberg

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