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US Consumer Confidence Unfazed By Omicron

DATA REACT
  • Consumer confidence was stronger than expected in the Conference Board survey for Dec, with expectations up whilst the present situation was largely unchanged from an upward revised Nov, despite the emergence of Omicron (survey cut-off Dec 16).
  • Details suggest a similar labour market narrative to Nov. 55.1% of consumers said jobs were “plentiful” (from 55.5%, still historically strong) whilst 25% expect more jobs to be available in the coming months vs 15% anticipating fewer.
  • Also of note: “The proportion of consumers planning to purchase homes, automobiles, major appliances, and vacations over the next six months all increased.”
  • “Meanwhile, concerns about inflation declined after hitting a 13-year high last month as did concerns about COVID-19, despite reports of continued price increases and the emergence of the Omicron variant”.
  • Another muted reaction from Treasuries, selling off ~1bp.

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