-
Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM POLICY: -
EM Policy
EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
LATEST FROM EM POLICY: -
G10 Markets
G10 Markets
Real-time insight on key fixed income and fx markets.
Launch MNI PodcastsFixed IncomeFI Markets AnalysisCentral Bank PreviewsFI PiFixed Income Technical AnalysisUS$ Credit Supply PipelineGilt Week AheadGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance CalendarsEZ/UK Bond Auction CalendarEZ/UK T-bill Auction CalendarUS Treasury Auction CalendarPolitical RiskMNI Political Risk AnalysisMNI Political Risk - US Daily BriefMNI Political Risk - The week AheadElection Previews -
Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets
Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region
-
Commodities
-
Credit
Credit
Real time insight of credit markets
-
Data
-
Global Macro
Global Macro
Actionable insight on monetary policy, balance sheet and inflation with focus on global issuance. Analysis on key political risk impacting the global markets.
Global MacroDM Central Bank PreviewsDM Central Bank ReviewsEM Central Bank PreviewsEM Central Bank ReviewsBalance Sheet AnalysisData AnalysisEurozone DataUK DataUS DataAPAC DataInflation InsightEmployment InsightGlobal IssuanceEurozoneUKUSDeep DiveGlobal Issuance Calendars EZ/UK Bond Auction Calendar EZ/UK T-bill Auction Calendar US Treasury Auction Calendar Global Macro Weekly -
About Us
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Real-time Actionable Insight
Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI US OPEN - Trump Warns BRICS Over Moving Away From USD
MNI BRIEF: Japan Q3 GDP To Be Slightly Revised Down
US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Durable Goods Orders for December (percent change)
Thursday, February 21 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec18 Nov18 Oct18
New Orders +2.0% +0.4% to 3.9% -- +0.7% -4.3%
Ex-Transport +0.2% -0.7% to +1.8% -- -0.4% +0.4%
Comments: Durable goods orders are expected to rise by 2.0% in
December, as Boeing orders surged to 218 from 50 in November. However,
durable goods orders are expected to rise by only 0.2% excluding the
transportation component after a November decline.
Weekly Jobless Claims for February 16 week
Thursday, February 21 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb16 Feb09 Feb02
Weekly Claims 229k 220k to 237k -- 239k 235k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to fall
by 10,000 to 229,000 in the February 16 employment survey week after an
increase of 4,000 to a 239,000 level in the previous week, still not
fully recovering from the spike in the January 26 week. Seasonal
adjustment difficulties in January and February make claims an
unreliable indicator. Claims were at level of 212,000 in the January 12
employment survey week. The four-week moving average would rise by 7,250
this week as the 200,000 level in the January 19 week rolls out of the
calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no
revisions. A pull-back in the average in the following week is very
likely as the recent-high 253,000 level will then roll out.
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Index for February (diffusion index)
Thursday, February 21 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb19 Jan19 Dec18
Phila Fed 14.0 12.0 to 18.0 -- 17.0 9.1
Comments: The Philadelphia Fed index is expected to fall back to a
reading of 14.0 in February after rising sharply to 17.0 in January. The
Empire State index rose to 8.8 in February from 3.9 in January.
Leading Indicators for January (percent change)
Thursday, February 21 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan19 Dec18 Nov18
Leading Index +0.2% -0.1% to +0.3% -- -0.1% +0.2%
Comments: The index of leading indicators is forecast to rebound by
0.2% in January after a 0.1% decline in December. A rebound in stock
prices and the ISM new orders index should be the key positive factors,
offset by declining confidence and higher initial jobless claims that
was impacted by the government shutdown, teacher strikes in California,
cold weather in the Midwest, and seasonal adjustment difficulties.
Delayed data from the Commerce Department will leave some holes in the
Conference Board's source data.
Existing-home Sales for January (annual rate)
Thursday, February 21 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan19 Dec18 Nov18
Home Resales 4.98m 4.90m to 5.20m -- 4.99m 5.33m
Comments: The pace of existing home sales is expected to slow
further to a 4.98 million annual rate in January after reversing sharply
to 4.99 million in December, keeping sales below their year-ago levels.
The January data will likely be negatively impacted by the government
shutdown, as FHFA mortgage processing was halted and government
employees were unpaid and unable to apply for mortgages. Pending home
sales fell by 2.2% in December, a third consecutive decline and a
negative indicator for existing home sales.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.