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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.         
Consumer Price Index for April (percent change)                       
 Friday, May 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET                          Actual:        
              Median         Range                   Apr19  Mar19  Feb19
 CPI           +0.4%    +0.2% to +0.5%                  --  +0.4%  +0.2% 
 CPI Core      +0.2%    +0.1% to +0.2%                  --  +0.1%  +0.1%
     Comments: CPI is expected to rise 0.4% in April after the same 
increase in the previous month. Gasoline prices are expected to post a 
further gain, as suggested by the monthly AAA data. Food prices are 
expected to flatten out after posting a 0.3% rise in March. The core CPI 
is forecast to rise 0.2% following below-trend 0.1% gains in the 
previous two months. An extremely large apparel price decline was a key 
factor in March that could be reversed in the April report. 
Treasury Statement for April ($ billions)                           
 Friday, May 10 at 2:00 p.m. ET                          Actual:
             Median           Range             Apr19    Mar19    Mar18
 Balance   +$142.0b   +$134.0b to +$153.0b          -- -$146.9b +$214.3b
     Comments: The US Treasury is expected to post a $142.0 billion 
budget surplus in the April tax month, much smaller than the $214.3 
billion surplus in April 2018.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email:

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